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President Trump's dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Cook sparked significant market concerns over the Fed's independence and policy trajectory, weighing on the dollar and boosting gold prices amid rising safe-haven demand. The Chinese yuan hit a nine-month high, while A-shares saw strong gains in technology and semiconductor sectors, attracting sustained foreign capital inflows. Crude oil came under pressure on expectations of U.S. tariffs on India, as market risk appetite diverged notably.
Key Highlights: The Chinese yuan hit a nine-month high against the dollar. The dollar index edged higher but remained broadly under pressure. Hong Kong's HIBOR rose across the board, and the dollar gained slightly against the offshore yuan. President Trump's dismissal of a Federal Reserve Governor sparked questions about the Fed's independence, intensifying dollar volatility.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Yuan strength boosts China assets/inflows; dollar hit by Fed political interference risk. |
| Market Impact | Yuan strength drives capital inflows; dollar faces short-term downside; HKD liquidity tight. |
| Core Logic | Fed independence challenge raises dollar uncertainty; yuan fundamentals/policy support appreciation. |
Key Highlights: China's major A-share indices all closed higher at midday. Semiconductor and AI computing hardware sectors surged, with several chip stocks hitting their daily upside limit. Hong Kong-listed AI concept stocks rallied, and Jiaoda Huiagu soared 28%. Foreign capital inflows into the Chinese market continued.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Semiconductor/AI sectors positive; real estate/liquor sectors adjust. |
| Market Impact | Tech growth boosts sentiment; capital shifts to hard tech. |
| Core Logic | Foreign capital drawn by China's innovation/valuation drives inflows/rotation. |
Key Highlights: China's Ministry of Commerce will introduce policies in September to expand service consumption and boost cross-border service trade. Australia's July CPI inflation beat expectations, weakening rate cut bets. The global trade friction index declined but remained at a medium-to-high level.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Service consumption policy aids domestic demand; inflation limits monetary easing. |
| Market Impact | Strong domestic demand supports economy; global trade environment uncertain. |
| Core Logic | Domestic policy focuses on consumption/opening; external friction eases short-term risk. |
Key Highlights: Crude oil prices stabilized after a sharp fall the previous day, as proposed U.S. tariffs on India intensified supply concerns. Gold prices hit a two-week high, supported by safe-haven demand. Domestic gold jewelry prices remained stable.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Gold boosted by safe-haven demand; crude pressured by trade friction/tariffs. |
| Market Impact | Gold attracts safe-haven flows; oil prices face downside/increased volatility. |
| Core Logic | Geopolitical/trade friction fuels safe-haven demand; gold rebound short-term; oil supply/demand capped. |
Key Highlights: President Trump threatened severe economic sanctions on Russia if Putin refused a ceasefire. The Federal Reserve's independence faced an unprecedented challenge, sparking legal disputes. Iran's nuclear talks stalled, raising risks of UN sanctions.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Geopolitical tensions boost safe-haven demand; Fed interference adds uncertainty to risk assets. |
| Market Impact | Global risk appetite pressured; capital flows to safe assets/low-risk currencies. |
| Core Logic | US-Russia conflict/Fed policy risk heighten global volatility and safe-haven demand. |
