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Official SNS Accounts
Markets are pricing in a higher probability of a Fed rate cut next week amid revised U.S. labor data showing significantly weaker payroll growth. China’s deeper-than-expected CPI decline fuels deflation concerns, pressuring the yuan and regional sentiment despite modest equity gains in Asia. Geopolitical tensions escalate with Israel’s strike on Hamas leadership in Qatar and Trump’s push for 100% EU tariffs on India and China, injecting risk into global trade and commodity markets.
Key News Summary: U.S. labor market revisions reveal 911,000 fewer jobs added over 12 months to March, boosting Fed rate cut expectations; China’s CPI fell more than expected, worsening deflation fears; USD weakens modestly against major peers amid risk-off tone; Trump pressures EU for aggressive tariffs on India and China.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | USD bearish short-term vs. major currencies; CNY bearish due to deflation concerns |
| Market Impact | Increased volatility in USD pairs; potential yuan depreciation pressure; safe-haven flows intermittent |
| Core Logic | Weaker U.S. labor data heightens Fed easing bets, weighing on USD; China deflation undermines yuan; tariff threats add uncertainty |
Key News Summary: S&P 500 futures and Asian equities rise modestly on easing trade fears and anticipation of Fed easing; Oracle surges 27% after strong cloud revenue guidance despite earnings miss; nuclear sector rallies on revival hopes; political instability in France weighs on European markets but limited impact so far.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Overall bullish bias in U.S. and Asian equities; mixed in Europe due to political risks |
| Market Impact | Tech and AI-related stocks lead gains; energy/nuclear sectors supported by geopolitical factors |
| Core Logic | Fed easing expectations and positive corporate guidance underpin equities; regional political risks cap upside |
Key News Summary: Revised U.S. payroll data signals significant labor market weakness; Bank of France forecasts sustained Q3 growth despite political headwinds; UK retail sales rise but tax concerns may dampen festive spending; China’s CPI drop deepens deflation worries.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed — US weaker labor market suggests easing (bullish for bonds), China deflation negative for growth |
| Market Impact | Bond yields pressured lower in US; cautious sentiment on global growth outlook persists |
| Core Logic | Labor weakness increases odds of Fed cuts supporting markets, while China’s deflation raises growth risks |
Key News Summary: Oil prices rise following Israeli airstrike on Hamas leadership in Qatar amid Middle East tensions; uranium market heats up on nuclear power resurgence optimism; gold dips slightly amid rising risk appetite but remains supported as geopolitical risks persist.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Oil and uranium bullish on geopolitical risk and nuclear revival; gold mildly bearish short term due to risk-on tone |
| Market Impact | Energy complex supported by supply risk premium; uranium demand outlook improves with nuclear focus |
| Core Logic | Middle East conflict escalates energy security concerns, boosting oil and uranium prices despite broader market optimism |
Important News Summary: Israel conducts targeted airstrike against Hamas leaders in Qatar, threatening Gulf stability and peace efforts; Trump advocates for EU to impose 100% tariffs on India and China to pressure Russia, raising trade conflict risks; Nepal government collapses amid violent protests over corruption and economic grievances.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Negative for regional stability and trade environment globally |
| Market Impact | Heightened geopolitical risk premium across markets, potential disruption to trade flows especially involving India-China-EU-US axis |
| Core Logic | Escalation in Middle East conflicts combined with aggressive tariff rhetoric increases uncertainty, elevating risk premiums |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
