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Official SNS Accounts
China’s manufacturing PMI unexpectedly contracted in November at 49.9, signaling deeper economic weakness and pressuring Asian markets lower. Global stock futures remain flat as investors brace for year-end positioning amid mixed macro signals, including cautious central bank rhetoric. Precious metals, particularly silver and gold, maintain bullish momentum driven by inflation concerns and geopolitical uncertainties.
Key News Summary: China’s factory activity contraction weakens risk sentiment; Indonesia pledges to balance currency stability with growth; BoJ hints at possible December rate hike.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bearish on CNY and Asian FX; cautious to mildly bullish on JPY |
| Market Impact | CNY pressured by weaker PMI; Rupiah supported by government’s growth-currency balancing; JPY may gain on BoJ hawkish tilt |
| Core Logic | Manufacturing contraction undermines Chinese yuan and regional risk appetite; Indonesia’s policy supports IDR resilience; BoJ’s potential hike lifts JPY as safe haven |
Key News Summary: Asian equities open December lower on China PMI miss; US futures steady amid year-end positioning; tech stocks show mixed performance with Nvidia under pressure but Intel surging.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Neutral to bearish Asia; neutral US equities |
| Market Impact | China PMI miss drags Asian stocks lower; US futures stable, awaiting catalysts; selective tech volatility persists |
| Core Logic | Weak Chinese manufacturing dampens regional equities; US market cautious entering final month of 2025 with low positioning; tech sector bifurcation reflects profit-taking vs. rotation |
Key News Summary: China manufacturing PMI contracts below 50 threshold for eighth consecutive month; India posts strong GDP growth signaling bullish domestic outlook; UK budget faces criticism amid tax hikes and fiscal uncertainty.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bearish China macro outlook; bullish India growth prospects; bearish UK fiscal sentiment |
| Market Impact | Slowing Chinese industrial activity raises global growth concerns; India’s robust GDP supports equity inflows and INR strength; UK budget uncertainty fuels Sterling volatility and rate cut speculation |
| Core Logic | Persistent Chinese contraction pressures global trade and risk assets; India’s expansion offsets some regional weakness; UK fiscal doubts increase expectations for monetary easing |
Key News Summary: Silver hits record highs with forecasts doubling prices due to inflation hedge demand; Goldman Sachs poll shows institutional optimism for gold reaching $5,000 next year.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bullish precious metals (silver & gold) |
| Market Impact | Silver surges on inflation fears and industrial demand; gold supported by geopolitical risks and investor positioning |
| Core Logic | Inflationary pressures and uncertain global environment drive safe-haven buying in precious metals, reinforcing bullish technical setups |
Important News Summary: Netanyahu requests presidential pardon amid corruption cases, adding political uncertainty in Israel; Pope Leo advocates two-state solution during Middle East visit amidst ongoing regional tensions.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bearish regional stability sentiment impacting risk assets linked to Middle East exposure |
| Market Impact | Heightened political risk weighs on related emerging market currencies and equities; safe-haven flows support USD and gold |
| Core Logic | Political instability in Israel increases geopolitical risk premium globally, favoring defensive assets |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
