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Global markets show cautious optimism with Asia-Pacific equities edging higher amid holiday-thinned volumes. Defensive assets gold and silver hit fresh highs, driven by geopolitical tensions and inflation concerns. Key macro drivers include Japan’s planned defense spending surge, China’s state-backed tech venture funds, and ongoing US economic slowdown signals favoring European outperformance.
Key News Summary: The Japanese yen remains weak amid plans to reduce super-long government bond sales and a focus on stretching GDP growth to 2%. China signals a slow yuan appreciation via fixing below market estimates. USD shows signs of slowing growth, boosting EUR prospects.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Yen Bearish; Yuan Mildly Bullish; EUR Bullish vs USD |
| Market Impact | Yen weakness pressures JPY pairs lower; yuan fixing supports cautious RMB gains; EUR/USD supported by US slowdown expectations |
| Core Logic | Japan’s fiscal stimulus and bond issuance cuts weaken yen; China’s managed yuan fix aims for gradual appreciation; US growth slowdown shifts flows to EUR |
Key News Summary: Asian markets advance modestly on thin holiday trading with notable strength in AI-related infrastructure stocks. US equities hit record highs amid Santa rally despite mixed economic signals. UK stocks outperformed in 2025 with expectations of continued upside.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Broadly Bullish in US & Asia; UK Outperformance Expected |
| Market Impact | AI sector leads gains; holiday liquidity supports mild rallies; value rotation gaining traction |
| Core Logic | Strong corporate earnings in tech/AI sectors underpin momentum; thin volumes amplify moves; rotation into value stocks signals tactical repositioning |
Key News Summary: Japan plans record defense spending aligned with 2% GDP growth target. China launches state-backed venture funds to support tech startups amid efforts to boost innovation. US economy slows, prompting investors to favor Europe for 2026.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Japan & China Macro Stimulus Bullish; US Slowdown Bearish for USD |
| Market Impact | Increased Japanese government spending may pressure yen further but support domestic equities; Chinese tech funding boosts risk appetite in Asia; US slowdown dampens dollar, favors EUR and EM FX |
| Core Logic | Fiscal stimulus in Asia contrasts with US deceleration, shifting global capital flows towards Asia and Europe |
Key News Summary: Gold and silver reach fresh highs on safe-haven demand amid geopolitical risks including Nigeria strikes and Ukraine conflict stalemate. Palm oil prices rise on increased Malaysian exports, reflecting supply tightening.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Gold/Silver Bullish; Palm Oil Bullish |
| Market Impact | Precious metals rally on risk-off sentiment; palm oil price gains support commodity-linked currencies like MYR/IDR |
| Core Logic | Heightened geopolitical tensions increase safe-haven buying; supply-side improvements in palm oil boost commodity prices |
Important News Summary: US conducts strikes against Islamic State militants in Nigeria, escalating regional security concerns. Taiwan opposition initiates impeachment bid against President Lai, adding political uncertainty. North Korea unveils nuclear submarine hull amid rising regional military tensions.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Risk-Off Bias Prevails Globally due to Geopolitical Tensions |
| Market Impact | Elevated geopolitical risks bolster safe havens (USD, JPY, gold); regional instability pressures emerging market assets tied to affected zones |
| Core Logic | Military actions and political instability increase risk aversion, driving flows into defensive assets |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
