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The US dollar is under renewed pressure, posting its worst one-day decline since last April amid President Trump’s public embrace of a weaker currency. Strong AI-driven earnings from semiconductor leaders ASML and SK Hynix are bolstering tech stocks and chip-related equities globally. Meanwhile, the EU-India free trade agreement advances amid geopolitical tensions, supporting select sectors and adding complexity to global trade dynamics.
Key News Summary: The US dollar suffered its steepest one-day slide since April 2025 following Trump’s remarks downplaying concerns over the currency’s decline. Japan signals willingness to coordinate with the US on FX intervention if needed, while emerging market currencies show mixed reactions amid tightening cash scrutiny in Thailand.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bearish USD; cautious JPY; mixed emerging market FX |
| Market Impact | USD weakness pressures major pairs; potential volatility around Fed decision; safe havens mixed |
| Core Logic | Political rhetoric fuels USD downside; central bank coordination talk caps extreme moves |
Key News Summary: European chip stocks rallied sharply after ASML’s 7% surge post record Q4 earnings and strong 2026 guidance driven by AI demand. SK Hynix doubled 2025 profits on memory shortages fueling AI sector growth. Conversely, LVMH shares plunged 7% after lagging Q4 results, reflecting luxury sector headwinds.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bullish semiconductor/tech; bearish luxury sector |
| Market Impact | Chip-related equities gain momentum globally; selective sector rotation expected |
| Core Logic | AI-driven semiconductor demand drives earnings beats; luxury underperformance signals caution |
Key News Summary: Australia’s inflation met expectations at 3.6%, reaching a six-quarter high, possibly delaying RBA rate cuts. US consumer confidence hit its lowest since 2014 amid slowing population growth due to reduced immigration. Zambia’s inflation dipped below 10% for the first time since 2023, signaling easing pressures in some emerging markets.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed: Inflation pressures persist in Australia (bearish for bonds); easing inflation in Zambia (bullish) |
| Market Impact | Central banks likely to maintain cautious stance; regional divergence in inflation trends |
| Core Logic | Inflation persistence vs localized easing shapes policy outlook and market expectations |
Key News Summary: Gold prices continue their relentless rally supported by safe-haven demand amid tariff uncertainties and political risks. Mining stocks have surged but analyst views diverge on sustainability of gains. China approved imports of Nvidia’s H200 AI chips, potentially boosting semiconductor-related commodity demand.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bullish gold and select mining stocks; cautious on broad commodity rally |
| Market Impact | Gold seen as hedge against geopolitical risks and currency debasement; mining equities volatile |
| Core Logic | Safe-haven flows and AI-related tech demand underpin commodity price movements |
Important News Summary: UK PM Starmer leads a business delegation including Airbus and HSBC executives on a high-stakes visit to China amid complex trade relations. EU-India signed a significant free trade agreement described as the “mother of all deals,” accelerating economic ties despite US tariff threats under Trump. Venezuela faces political uncertainty as regime opens economy but lacks credible reforms.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed: Positive trade developments (bullish for EU-India sectors); geopolitical risks remain (bearish for risk assets) |
| Market Impact | Trade deal supports select sectors like aerospace and luxury goods; geopolitical tensions add risk premium |
| Core Logic | Strategic trade agreements coexist with rising geopolitical frictions shaping global investment flows |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
