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US-China trade tensions ease following the Trump-Xi meeting, with tariff reductions on fentanyl imports and a one-year delay on China’s rare earth export controls, supporting risk sentiment. However, renewed US nuclear weapons testing orders by Trump inject geopolitical risk, pressuring safe havens. Tech earnings remain mixed, with Meta and Microsoft down post-results but futures recovering after broader upbeat reports.
Key News Summary: The US-China trade truce reduces tariffs and delays rare earth export curbs, improving risk appetite; meanwhile, Trump’s order to resume nuclear testing elevates geopolitical uncertainty. Eurozone growth beats expectations but ECB holds rates steady. USD pressured by Fed rate cut and rising mortgage rates.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | USD bearish vs. CNY and risk currencies; EUR mixed; safe havens like JPY and CHF supported on geopolitical jitters |
| Market Impact | USD weakens on tariff truce and Fed cut; CNY gains on delayed export controls; geopolitical risk lifts JPY demand |
| Core Logic | Trade détente lowers USD safe-haven demand; Fed easing weighs on USD; nuclear risks support JPY/CHF as hedges |
Key News Summary: Major tech names Meta (-11%) and Microsoft decline post-earnings due to higher AI spending concerns; Nasdaq down 1.6%. Stock futures rise following broader upbeat tech earnings from Amazon (cloud sales +20%) and Coinbase (earnings beat). Netflix announces a 10-for-1 stock split, boosting liquidity.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed tech sector: selective weakness in Meta/Microsoft vs. strength in Amazon, Netflix |
| Market Impact | Short-term Nasdaq pressure from AI cost concerns; broader tech recovery supports futures rally |
| Core Logic | Earnings-driven volatility in tech stocks; positive cloud & crypto earnings underpin selective buying |
Key News Summary: US initial jobless claims fall signaling labor resilience despite government shutdown impact on data flow. Eurozone growth outperforms expectations but ECB holds rates steady amid inflation concerns. Argentina eases reserve rules to boost liquidity post-midterms. UK faces tax rise risks amid downgraded productivity forecasts.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed: US labor stable (bullish), Eurozone cautious (neutral), emerging markets liquidity supportive |
| Market Impact | Supports moderate global growth outlook but central bank caution limits risk asset upside |
| Core Logic | Labor market strength offsets fiscal drag; central banks pause for data clarity amid inflation risks |
Key News Summary: Rare earth stocks rally as China delays export controls for one year following US-China trade truce. Oil sector buoyed by US readiness to increase exports to China and Shell’s $3.5bn buyback after strong profits. Gold supported by geopolitical tensions over nuclear testing resumption.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bullish rare earths and gold; oil supported by trade détente and supply optimism |
| Market Impact | Rally in strategic metals benefits mining stocks; gold gains as geopolitical risks rise |
| Core Logic | Trade easing lifts industrial metals demand outlook; nuclear threat boosts gold safe-haven appeal |
Important News Summary: Trump-Xi summit yields tariff cuts and trade truce easing global economic uncertainty but Trump’s directive to resume US nuclear tests raises geopolitical tensions. Russia responds cautiously, increasing regional security concerns. Israel faces mass ultra-Orthodox protests against military draft reforms.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed: trade détente reduces global risk premium (bullish); nuclear testing order increases geopolitical risk (bearish) |
| Market Impact | Short-term relief in trade-sensitive assets tempered by renewed defense sector interest |
| Core Logic | Economic truce supports growth assets but heightened military risks sustain volatility |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
