Dow Futures Slip on Weekly Loss as Iran Sanctions Loom
As of 2026-08-24 07:00 SGT
Key points
- Wall Street closed higher on Friday, with the Dollar mostly weaker and Treasury yields firmer, but CNBC reported stock futures slipped Monday after the Dow logged back-to-back weekly declines
- A stronger-than-expected flash Services PMI reading helped extend the rebound in Treasury yields; the 10-year yield stands at 4.738% (+4.2bp)
- Gold broke above $4,600 on Friday to hit three-month highs before easing to $4,665.50 (-0.32%); WTI crude eased to $86.34 (-0.83%) after Friday's push toward its $87.51 high
- USD/JPY was little changed at 158.96 (+0.01%) and EUR/USD held near 1.1680 (-0.01%) in thin Monday Asia trade; the Canadian dollar lagged in G10 after US-Canada trade talks collapsed and 50% US tariffs on Canadian goods took effect
- Treasury Secretary Bessent is set to unveil the "toughest-ever" US sanctions on Iran later Monday, an "economic D-Day," while Iran's Rezaei warned that a continued economic war could stop "a single drop of oil" leaving the Gulf
Market snapshot
| Instrument | Level | Change |
|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | 158.96 | +0.01% |
| EUR/USD | 1.1680 | -0.01% |
| Nikkei 225 (close) | 66,016 | -0.30% |
| Hang Seng (close) | 26,009 | +1.21% |
| Dow futures | 53,318 | -0.07% |
| S&P 500 futures | 7,689.75 | -0.02% |
| Nasdaq 100 futures | 29,390 | +0.01% |
| Gold futures | 4,665.50 | -0.32% |
| WTI crude | 86.34 | -0.83% |
| Bitcoin | 77,596 | +0.67% |
| US 10-yr yield | 4.738% | +4.2bp |
Foreign exchange — Dollar steady, Canadian dollar lags in G10
USD/JPY held little changed at 158.96 (+0.01%), inside Friday's 158.38-159.12 range, while EUR/USD was flat-to-lower at 1.1680 (-0.01%) after treading water below 1.1700 on Friday. ForexLive flagged thin liquidity typical of a Monday Asia session as more centers came online, with the Canadian dollar the weakest currency in the G10 basket following the breakdown in US-Canada trade talks. Today's Tokyo session should keep USD/JPY confined to the upper 158s ahead of this week's Jackson Hole lineup.
Equities — Futures soften after a second straight weekly Dow decline
CNBC reported that stock futures slipped Monday after the Dow posted back-to-back weekly declines, even though Friday's session itself closed higher, supported by a beat on the flash Services PMI. Dow futures eased 0.07% to 53,318, with S&P 500 futures down 0.02% and Nasdaq 100 futures roughly flat, as investors awaited details of the new Iran sanctions. CNBC also reported that Nvidia customers were warned about AI-related price hikes, adding a fresh cost overhang for chip-sensitive names. Hong Kong's Hang Seng closed up 1.21% at 26,009. With PCE data and Nvidia earnings still ahead this week, today's open looks set to stay cautious pending the Iran sanctions rollout.
Macro — Yields stay elevated into Jackson Hole
Friday's flash Services PMI beat estimates, extending the rebound in Treasury yields, with the 10-year now at 4.738% (+4.2bp). Minneapolis Fed's Kashkari said over the weekend there is no sign the Treasury market is malfunctioning and that rising yields have not made the Fed's job harder, while adding he still lacks confidence inflation is heading back toward target. Fed Chair Warsh's Jackson Hole speech on Friday remains the week's key catalyst, alongside Thursday's core PCE and GDP releases. Ahead of tonight's Bessent announcement on Iran, Treasury yields and the Dollar look set to stay choppy.
Commodities — Gold holds a high perch, crude eases from Friday's highs
Gold broke above the $4,600 mark on Friday to touch three-month peaks before easing to $4,665.50 (-0.32%) early Monday. WTI crude eased to $86.34 (-0.83%) after Friday's session pushed as high as $87.51, with Middle East supply risk still the main underpinning. Into tonight's sanctions announcement, both gold and oil look poised for headline-driven swings.
Geopolitics — Iran sanctions due, Canada trade war escalates
Bessent is set to unveil the "toughest-ever" US sanctions on Iran later Monday, described elsewhere as an "economic D-Day," as Iran's Rezaei warned that if the economic war continues, not "a single drop of oil" will leave the Gulf and that any nation cooperating with the US campaign would be treated as being at war with Iran. Separately, US-Canada trade talks collapsed Friday night, triggering 50% US tariffs on Canadian goods; Prime Minister Mark Carney said Canada is "at war" with the US and vowed dollar-for-dollar retaliation starting September 8. Today's sanctions rollout is the swing factor for oil prices and broader risk sentiment.
Upcoming events
| Time (SGT) | Region | Event | Focus |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/25 02:00 | US | Treasury Sec Bessent Speaks | Follow-through on the new Iran sanctions details |
| 08/26 09:30 | AU | CPI y/y (forecast 3.3%) | Reading on Australian inflation, AUD driver |
| 08/26 20:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index m/m (forecast 0.2%) | The Fed's preferred inflation gauge |
| 08/26 20:30 | US | GDP q/q (forecast 1.5%) | Revised US growth reading |
| 08/28 22:00 | US | Fed Chairman Warsh Speaks | Jackson Hole keynote, week's key catalyst |
| 08/29 00:15 | All | Jackson Hole Symposium | Global focus on the policy outlook debate |