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Global markets traded cautiously, with the dollar index resilient but facing near-term pressure. Investors awaited Nvidia's earnings and Federal Reserve policy cues. Gold consolidated near key resistance, while expectations of increased crude supply weighed on oil prices. Geopolitical tensions and European bond market volatility heightened risk-off sentiment.
Key Highlights: Sterling consolidated near 1.3450 against the dollar. The dollar index rebounded above 98.6, demonstrating resilience. The Australian dollar saw limited gains despite 2.8% inflation data. The euro against the dollar dropped to a three-week low, while the yen edged lower to 147.75.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Dollar rebound bullish USD, curbed non-USD; GBP, EUR pressured; AUD support limited. |
| Market Impact | Short-term FX volatility rose; non-USD pressured. Traders eye USD, risk sentiment. |
| Core Logic | Fed hawkish stance, data underpinned USD; global uncertainty limited non-USD. |
Key Highlights: Impending Nvidia earnings sparked caution in the tech sector, though U.S. stocks edged higher. Hong Kong's Hang Seng Index fell 1.27%, with tech and financial shares broadly weakening. Kohl's stock surged 15% after beating earnings expectations. Apple's iPhone 17 sales faced challenges.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Strong Nvidia outlook boosted tech; HK stocks pressured, small-cap outflows. |
| Market Impact | Tech volatility rose; investors cautious. Short-term structural opportunities, divergence likely. |
| Core Logic | AI growth uncertainty (Nvidia); US stocks tied to guidance; HK regulatory/funding drag. |
Key Highlights: US Treasury Secretary criticized Boeing's strategic missteps. French 30-year bond yields hit a 14-year high. Fed officials emphasized a moderately hawkish policy stance and gradual inflation decline. India sought to review tariffs on Russian oil.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Rising French yields bearish EU bonds/EUR (political risk); Fed hawkishness supported USD. |
| Market Impact | EU bond volatility boosted safe havens; US/EU assets diverged; Fed policy drove flows. |
| Core Logic | Political risk + monetary tightening pressured EU assets; US data/Fed policy key. |
Key Highlights: Spot gold consolidated near the $3,400 resistance level. Goldman Sachs forecast Brent crude falling to $50/barrel by end-2026 on supply pressure. Russia extended its gasoline export ban until September.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Gold supported by rate cut bets, faced resistance; crude supply pressured prices, bearish. |
| Market Impact | Gold strong, watch breakout; crude downside risk. Monitor supply, geopolitical shocks. |
| Core Logic | Fed rate cut bets supported gold; supply/demand uncertainty limited upside; crude pressure. |
Key Highlights: A Minneapolis school shooting (3 dead, 20 injured) sparked short-term safe-haven demand. NATO Secretary-General confirmed a potential Putin-Zelenskyy meeting, emphasizing security guarantees. Germany launched Europe's largest ammunition production facility.
| Analysis Item | Details |
|---|---|
| Positive/Negative Catalysts | Sudden security incidents boosted safe-havens, hurt risk; military buildup heightened tensions. |
| Market Impact | Risk-off sentiment boosted gold/safe havens; increased geopolitical uncertainty, volatility. |
| Core Logic | Geopolitical/sudden events boosted safe-havens; diplomacy constrained situation; bulls watch shocks. |
