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Official SNS Accounts
Markets remain cautious ahead of the Fed’s imminent rate decision, with equities mixed but holding near record highs driven by AI sector strength and M&A activity. US economic data signals slowing growth and rising inflation pressures, reinforcing expectations for multiple Fed rate cuts this year. Geopolitical tensions and tariff disputes, notably between China and Mexico, add risk to FX and commodities markets, while gold benefits from safe-haven demand amid uncertainty.
Key News Summary: The US dollar shows resilience despite Fed rate cut expectations, pressured by geopolitical risks including China’s warning to Mexico on tariffs. Major currencies like EUR, GBP, JPY are softer amid economic stagnation in the UK and inflation concerns. Yuan remains under pressure as China accelerates dollar diversification.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | USD Bullish; EUR, GBP, JPY Bearish |
| Market Impact | USD strength limits downside despite dovish Fed bets; EUR/USD and GBP/USD face selling pressure; Asian FX pressured by China’s trade tensions. |
| Core Logic | Geopolitical risk premium supports USD; UK economic stagnation weighs on Sterling; tariff conflicts undermine Asian currencies; anticipation of Fed cuts capped by safe-haven flows. |
Key News Summary: US stocks tread cautiously after recent record highs with Nasdaq buoyed by AI gains (Nvidia), while S&P 500 dips slightly amid mixed earnings and tariff worries. European markets falter on defensive sectors with takeover battles (Sabadell vs BBVA) stirring volatility. Tech IPOs and AI infrastructure investments in UK signal continued sector momentum.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Mixed overall; US tech bullish, European banks bearish |
| Market Impact | Nasdaq leads on AI optimism; S&P 500 consolidates near highs; European equities pressured by hostile takeovers and energy concerns. |
| Core Logic | AI-driven tech rally offsets macro concerns in US; European market sentiment dampened by regulatory risks and geopolitical uncertainties; M&A activity adds stock-specific volatility. |
Key News Summary: UK economy flatlines in July signaling stagnation ahead of Autumn budget; US jobs growth slows sharply with rising inflation pressures from tariffs. Economists widely expect at least two Fed rate cuts before year-end to counter weakening labor market conditions. India’s inflation steady but reforms continue amid EU trade deal talks.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bearish for UK growth outlook; Cautiously bullish for US easing cycle |
| Market Impact | Stagnant UK GDP weighs on GBP and domestic equities; US slowdown increases odds of Fed easing supporting risk assets long-term; emerging markets watch India-EU trade progress closely. |
| Core Logic | Economic stagnation limits policy flexibility in UK; US weakening labor data reinforces dovish Fed stance; stable inflation in India supports measured monetary policy continuation. |
Key News Summary: Gold prices rise modestly (+0.26%) supported by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical tensions and market uncertainty. Brent crude oil rallies (+1.55%) on supply concerns linked to G7 tariffs on Russian oil imports and ongoing energy security worries in Europe. Base metals show mild gains reflecting cautious industrial demand outlooks.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Gold Bullish; Oil Bullish; Base metals Neutral to mildly bullish |
| Market Impact | Gold acts as hedge against market volatility and geopolitical risks; oil supported by sanctions-related supply constraints; base metals reflect mixed global demand signals. |
| Core Logic | Heightened geopolitical risks underpin gold buying; energy market tightness sustains oil price gains despite global growth concerns; industrial metals await clearer demand cues from major economies. |
Important News Summary: Israel’s controversial strike in Doha draws UN Security Council criticism including from the US, escalating Middle East tensions. Brazil’s ex-president Bolsonaro sentenced to 27 years for coup plotting, raising political uncertainty in Latin America. China issues stern warning to Mexico over tariff hikes amidst ongoing trade negotiations with the EU and US.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Risk-Off Bias globally due to geopolitical tensions |
| Market Impact | Heightened Middle East conflict risk supports safe havens (USD, Gold); Latin American political instability pressures regional assets/currencies; China-Mexico tariff dispute raises trade war fears impacting Asian FX and commodities supply chains. |
| Core Logic | Geopolitical flashpoints increase market volatility premiums; political unrest in key regions fuels risk aversion flows into defensive assets; trade conflicts threaten global supply chain stability affecting currency pairs sensitive to Asia-Pacific trade dynamics. |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
