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Global markets rally as President Trump reverses his Greenland-related tariff threats, easing trade tensions and boosting risk appetite. Inflation data in the US remains above target, sustaining cautious Fed watchfulness. Geopolitical risks persist with Trump’s new “Board of Peace” initiative and ongoing Ukraine conflict, keeping safe-haven demand for gold elevated.
Key News Summary: Trump’s tariff U-turn on Europe and Greenland reduces trade tension fears, supporting risk currencies. USD remains mixed amid persistent above-target US inflation and political uncertainty surrounding Fed leadership. Emerging market currencies gain on easing tariff risks and improving investor sentiment.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bullish on EUR, GBP, BRL; Bearish/Neutral on USD due to inflation concerns and political uncertainty |
| Market Impact | EUR/USD and GBP/USD rallies on tariff relief; USD softness capped by inflation data; EM FX strengthens |
| Core Logic | Tariff risk removal improves global trade outlook, lifting risk sentiment; US inflation keeps Fed cautious, limiting USD upside |
Key News Summary: US and European equities rally sharply following Trump’s tariff backdown, with Dow gaining 300 points over two sessions. AI sector shows mixed signals as some stocks book profits amid bubble concerns. Ubisoft shares plunge after game cancellations, while European banks remain under focus amid geopolitical tensions.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Broadly bullish equities; bearish on select tech (Ubisoft) due to fundamentals |
| Market Impact | Risk-on rally in US/EU indices; profit-taking in overheated AI names; sector rotation into banks and industrials |
| Core Logic | Trade tension easing fuels equity rebound; selective stock weakness reflects company-specific risks |
Key News Summary: US core PCE inflation at 2.8% in November remains above Fed target, sustaining hawkish expectations despite political pressure on Powell. Consumer spending posts solid gains supporting growth narrative. Brazil’s tax revenue surge provides fiscal leeway amid Lula’s spending plans.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Hawkish bias on US monetary policy; supportive for growth assets globally |
| Market Impact | Sustained inflation pressures maintain rate hike expectations; emerging markets benefit from fiscal stability signals |
| Core Logic | Inflation data anchors Fed caution; solid consumption supports economic resilience |
Key News Summary: Gold prices surge toward record highs driven by safe-haven demand amid geopolitical uncertainty and cautious monetary policy outlook. Oil markets remain supported by recent US energy policy shifts and Venezuela developments but show muted volatility.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bullish gold; neutral oil with upward bias due to geopolitical factors |
| Market Impact | Gold rallies as traders seek safety; oil steady amid supply-side uncertainties |
| Core Logic | Geopolitical risks plus Fed caution drive gold demand; oil influenced by supply disruptions but capped by global growth concerns |
Important News Summary: Trump launches “Board of Peace” focusing on Gaza amid skepticism from global leaders. Zelensky criticizes Europe for ineffective diplomacy and urges acceptance of Trump’s approach. Tensions persist in Ukraine with renewed Russian offensives threatening Zaporizhia. US-China relations strained over AI chip exports despite Trump’s push to ease restrictions.
| Analysis Items | Analysis Content |
|---|---|
| Bullish/Bearish | Bearish geopolitical risk sentiment overall; mixed diplomatic signals create uncertainty |
| Market Impact | Heightened geopolitical risk supports safe havens (gold, JPY); weighs on European assets intermittently |
| Core Logic | Political unpredictability sustains risk aversion despite trade optimism |
Disclaimer: This report is solely for information aggregation and market analysis and does not constitute any specific investment advice.
